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  • Predicative Analytics and Futurism Section, Issue 17, April 2018
    basis. In some cases, that’s fine—I don’t really care how my Amazon Alexa is able to understand speech ... used a gradient boosting machine to predict primary care office visit utilization for individual patients ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Apr 2018
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Forecasting & Futurism Newsletter, January 2012, Issue 4
    processing” 3. Confidence in the United States drops; direct foreign investment falls to 65 percent of current ... Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce, foreign direct invest- ment in the United States has increased ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Forecasting & Futurism Newsletter, July 2010, Issue 2
    Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
    we did (or didn’t) predict the future of health care expenses, cause-specific death rates, employment ... The brave actuaries who first priced long-term care insurance lacked data on voluntary lapse rates ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Forecasting & Futurism Newsletter - December 2013 - Issue 8
    “Land This Plane”—A Delphi Study about Long-Term Care in the United States By Ben Wolzenski 2013-2014 ... Long Term Care (LTC) Section study in “Land This Plane—A Delphi Study about Long-Term Care in the United ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
    good way. Yes, you put in a lot of time without direct compensation; but the result is highly rewarding ... found is a group of very involved individuals who care deeply about learning and innovating. They are ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Forecasting and Futurism, July 2014, Issue 9
    Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions By Ben Wolzenski and Ron Hagelman ... think tanks; and the SOA Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions had a lot of them. Ben Wolzenski ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Forecasting & Futurism
    bidding for customers in the commercial health care marketplace, it is important that carriers ensure ... health out- comes (and also reduce their costs of care). That company may have estimated costs appropriately ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Predictive Analytics and Futurism
    several different medications per day1 —some primary meds to combat specific ailments or illnesses, ... others to combat the harmful side effects of the primary (or secondary) meds. Now, we are on the verge ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Predictive Analytics & Futurism, June 2020, Issue 25
    proce- dure. To say this another way: for now, we care more about how the smooths fit vs. how the model ... GAM encompasses a wide range of models mak- ing a direct Earth/GAM comparison tricky. However, there are ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2020
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics